Parameters Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 Based on the SCEIR Prediction Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
At the end of 2019, COVID-19 outbreaks occurred one after another in countries worldwide. Managing outbreak efficiently and stably is an essential public health issue facing In this paper, based on SEIR model, we propose a SCEIR model that incorporates close contacts (C) self-protectors (P). Firstly, epidemic data China, USA, Italy are predicted compared with actual data. Secondly, sensitivity analysis each parameter was conducted using Anylogic. The study shows established paper has certain validity. infection rate contact E (
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: COVID
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2673-8112']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/covid2120129